Key Highlights

  • IFCN World Milk Price fell by 2.5% in June 2025, marking its first decline this year.
  • Export demand is softening, as uncertainty surrounding global milk demand persists.
  • Geopolitical tensions continue to exert downward pressure on dairy prices worldwide.

Dairy Commodity Prices: Butter Diverges

  • Butter prices set a new record high for the fourth consecutive month, exceeding $7,900 USD/ton.
  • All other major dairy commodities declined in price, indicating possible market saturation.
  • Many buyers are delaying purchases, anticipating additional price reductions in the near future.

Global Milk Supply Trends

  • Global milk production is strengthening, with most regions ramping up output.
  • Oceania is currently at the seasonal low for milk production, leading to tight inventories. However, expectations for a robust upcoming season could prompt further drops in international milk prices.
  • European Union maintains moderate growth in milk supply.
  • The Americas are experiencing significant increases in milk output, supplying more milk year-over-year.

    Market Balance: An Uncertain Outlook

      • The dairy market remains unbalanced, with no clear dominance from either the demand or supply side.
      • Price volatility continues as producers and buyers navigate evolving economic and geopolitical landscapes.

      Read more about IFCN World milk Price Indicator

      Based on the weighted average of 3 IFCN world milk price indicators:
      1. SMP & butter (~32%),
      2. Cheese & whey (~51%),
      3. WMP (~17%), based on quarterly updated shares of the related commodities traded on the world market

      IFCN upcoming dairy events

      Events calendar

      23-25

      September

      IFCN Supporter Conference | Graz, Austria

      Making Sustainability profitable
      How to future proof the dairy industry

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